2026 Valero Texas Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected leaderboard, surprising predictions

The PGA Tour schedule remains in Texas one more week as the 2026 Valero Texas Open tees off Thursday at TPC San Antonio – The Oaks Course. Some big names are off as they have turned their attention to the Masters, but the fields include Texas native Jordan Spieth, Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood.

The latest 2026 Valero Texas Open odds via FanDuel Sportsbook list Fleetwood as the favorite at +1500, with Aberg (+1600) and Spieth close behind. 

Before locking in any 2026 Valero Texas Open picks, you NEED to see the golf prediction and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every PGA Tour tournament 10,000 times, and has a lengthy history of being extremely profitable.

Now, with the 2026 Valero Texas Open field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.

One major surprise the model is calling for this week: Collin Morikawa finishes outside the top five despite being tied for the third lowest opening odds. Another surprise: Sepp Straka makes a run at the title at +2500. He’s a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday!

The model is also targeting other longshots, including a huge +3000 sleeper who makes a strong run at the title! Anyone who backs this golfer could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any PGA picks!