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NFL risers and upcoming schedules ahead of Week 7

Optimism in New York: A youth movement powered the New York Giants to a 17-point upset win as 7.5-point underdogs on Thursday Night Football, earning them the title of most improved team of the week. Rookie duo Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo combined for four touchdowns, with Dart leading the charge. He posted a 91.2 […]

  • Optimism in New York: A youth movement powered the New York Giants to a 17-point upset win as 7.5-point underdogs on Thursday Night Football, earning them the title of most improved team of the week. Rookie duo Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo combined for four touchdowns, with Dart leading the charge. He posted a 91.2 PFF grade, showcasing his dual-threat ability through the air and on the ground.
  • A reprieve for the Jets: Despite facing the league’s easiest stretch by power ratings, the Jets’ upcoming slate is filled with unfavorable situational spots. After declining a post-London bye, they’ll return home on a short week to face Carolina. From there, they host a Bengals team coming off Thursday Night Football with extra rest. New York will get its bye in Week 9 — but so will the Browns, their Week 10 opponent.

Every week of the NFL season delivers new market signals, and few tools are sharper than power ratings for cutting through the noise. PFF’s updated ratings don’t just show who’s playing well — they reveal where perception and reality may be drifting apart.

In this article, we highlight the three teams that gained the most ground after last week’s results. We’ll also examine schedule strength over the next four weeks, spotlighting the softest and toughest upcoming slates — a crucial lens for identifying potential overreactions in lines, totals, and futures.

The goal is to give bettors a forward-looking edge on who’s climbing, who’s facing headwinds, and where opportunity may still be hiding.

Team Power Rating Weekly Adjustment SoS YTD SoS Remaining
KC 6.0 0.9 2 18
GB 5.5 0.5 20 12
BUF 4.8 -1.4 30 21
DET 4.7 -0.9 4 3
LA 4.7 0.9 6 20
PHI 3.6 -1.8 12 5
BLT 2.8 6.8 3 28
WAS 2.6 -0.5 16 9
TB 2.4 0.9 13 27
DEN 2.4 0.3 19 8
LAC 2.0 0.3 18 15
SEA 1.8 0.9 23 13
HST 1.7 0.0 15 11
SF 1.7 1.3 21 23
MIN 1.6 0.0 27 1
IND 1.0 0.3 26 10
ATL 0.8 1.4 5 31
PIT 0.8 0.6 31 14
JAX -0.1 -0.9 7 26
CHI -0.5 0.5 11 16
NE -1.4 0.4 29 32
ARZ -1.8 0.1 32 2
DAL -2.4 -0.7 22 4
CAR -2.7 0.7 28 17
LV -3.1 0.5 24 7
NYG -3.3 1.8 8 6
MIA -4.3 -0.3 25 24
CIN -4.8 -0.1 9 22
NYJ -6.4 -0.4 10 30
CLV -6.9 -0.4 1 29
TEN -7.2 -0.5 17 19
NO -8.0 -0.4 14 25

Top 3 Risers

New York Giants +1.9

A youth movement powered the New York Giants to a 17-point upset win as 7.5-point underdogs on Thursday Night Football, earning them the title of most improved team of the week. Rookie duo Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo combined for four touchdowns, with Dart leading the charge. He posted a 91.2 PFF grade, showcasing his dual-threat ability through the air and on the ground.

Atlanta Falcons +1.4

Atlanta looked refreshed coming off its bye week, jumping out to a 21-7 halftime lead over the Bills. It was nearly 28-7, but Drake London’s toe landed out of bounds at the goal line as time expired in the first half. The Falcons’ defensive line continued its strong form, generating pressure and forcing two Josh Allen interceptions on Monday Night Football.

Los Angeles Rams +.9

It wasn’t the offensive explosion the game script seemed to favor for the Rams, but their defense delivered, holding the Ravens to just three points. They’ll head overseas for one more game — against Jacksonville — before hitting their bye week. The break will be a welcome one, as star wide receiver Puka Nacua was shaken up on Sunday and is currently listed as day-to-day.

Hardest Upcoming Schedules

Minnesota Vikings (Avg Opp PR of 3.3)

W7: PHI (3.6) | W8: @LAC (2) | W9: @DET (4.7) | W10: BLT (2.8)

Schedule notes: They drop their bye week in W6 and exchange it for a Week 10 matchup against the Ravens — keeping them locked into what remains the league’s toughest four-game stretch. Their typical bye-week boost is somewhat offset by Philadelphia having played on Thursday Night Football.

Minnesota now faces a short turnaround with a road game in Los Angeles for TNF in Week 8. That game becomes a central pivot point: they’ll benefit from the added rest in Week 9, but will be on the other end of the equation in Week 10 when Baltimore comes in off extra rest.

Las Vegas Raiders (Avg Opp PR of 2.8)

W7: @KC (6) | W8: BYE | W9: JAX (-.1) | W10:@ DEN (2.4)

Schedule notes: The Raiders face an early body-clock kickoff this week in Kansas City, but the rough stretch comes with a silver lining — their bye week follows.

Washington Commanders (Avg Opp PR of 2.5)

W7: DAL (-2.4) | W8: KC (6) | W9: SEA (1.8) | W10: DET (4.7)

Schedule notes: The Commanders are in the middle of back-to-back road games, heading to Dallas and then Kansas City. They’ll return home in Week 9 to host Seattle, but the Seahawks will be coming off a bye — minimizing the typical disadvantage of a cross-country trip.

Easiest Upcoming Schedules

New York Jets (Avg Opp PR of -4.8)

W7: CAR (-2.7) | W8: CIN (-4.8) | W9: BYE | W10: CLV (-6.9)

Schedule notes: Despite facing the league’s easiest stretch by power ratings, the Jets’ upcoming slate is filled with unfavorable situational spots. After declining a post-London bye, they’ll return home on a short week to face Carolina. From there, they host a Bengals team coming off Thursday Night Football with extra rest. New York will get its bye in Week 9 — but so will the Browns, their Week 10 opponent.

Cleveland Browns (Avg Opp PR of -4)

W7: MIA (-4.3) | W8: NE (-1.4) | W9: BYE | W10: NYJ (-6.4)

Schedule notes: As for the Browns, they enter a favorable stretch of their own, with no major schedule quirks to note.

Chicago Bears (Avg Opp PR of -3-3)

W7: NO (-8) | W8: BLT (2.8) | W9: CIN (-4.8) | W10: NYG (-3.3)

Schedule notes: The Bears are likely to face Lamar Jackson in Week 8, with the Ravens coming off their bye. These projections account for his expected return. The trip to Baltimore marks the first of back-to-back road games against AFC North opponents.

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