Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs head to Buffalo for the game of the week where KC is favored by 2 points on BetMGM but 3 on Mock’s model. David Eulitt / Getty Images
We’re back again with projected point spreads and totals for the NFL’s Week 9 games.
I have developed an NFL Projection Model that takes in play-by-play data to create projections for each team in the NFL. These projections are adjusted for opponent and garbage time before spitting out an expected points-per-game for the offense and defense. From there, I’m able to plug these values into the model and get an expected spread and total for each game of the NFL season.
My model likes the Broncos to cover at Texans, a game where the betting line has wobbled a lot. Plus, Saints to cover by a point against the Rams, the under at Vikings-Lions and in the game of the week: Chiefs to cover and the over at Bills.
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