Top Picks from the CBB Betting Splits for Sunday March 15th

Today is Selection Sunday but before the bracket is unveiled we have five more College Basketball Conference Tournament games to get down on. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a pair of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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This is the Atlantic 10 Tournament championship game.

Dayton (23-10) is the 4-seed and just edged Saint Louis 70-69 in the semifinal, winning outright as 4.5-point neutral site dogs. On the other hand, VCU (26-7) is the 2-seed and just handled Saint Joseph’s 77-64, easily covering as 6.5-point neutral site favorites.

This line opened with VCU listed as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite.

Sharps have pounced on the Rams laying short chalk, steaming VCU up from -2.5 to -3.5.

At DraftKings, VCU is taking in 67% of spread bets and 75% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split signaling both public and wiseguy support in their favor.

Ken Pom has VCU winning by four points (75-71). He also has the Rams ranked higher (46th vs 77th).

With this in mind, sharps looking to gain some added protection in the event of a close game may prefer a VCU moneyline play at -170.

At DraftKings, VCU is receiving 75% of moneyline bets and 75% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, VCU is taking in 75% of moneyline bets and 76% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a one-way split in favor of a straight up Rams victory.

VCU has the better offensive efficiency (46th vs 139th), effective field goal percentage (63rd vs 161st), offensive rebound percentage (96th vs 295th) and three-point shooting (41st vs 166th).

The Rams also commit fewer turnovers on offense (92nd bs 227th) and hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (62nd vs 153rd).

This is the SEC Tournament championship game.

Vanderbilt (26-7) is the 4-seed and just shocked Florida 91-74 in the semifinal, winning outright as 7.5-point neutral site dogs. Meanwhile, Arkansas (25-8) is the 3-seed and just outlasted Ole Miss 93-90 in overtime in the semifinal but failed to cover as 8.5-point neutral site favorites.

This line opened with Vanderbilt listed as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite.

The public sees two evenly matched teams and can’t decide whether to take the points or lay them.

However, despite this roughly 50/50 ticket split at DraftKings we’ve seen Vanderbilt fall from -2.5 to -1.5.

Normally, in a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move at all if the bets are even because, theoretically, the oddsmakers have balanced action and no need to adjust the price one way or the other. So, based on the line move we can infer that the bigger, sharper wagers have sided with Arkansas plus the points.

While the public is split at DraftKings in terms of the spread, we are seeing a plethora of smart money back Arkansas to win straight up on the moneyline (+110).

At DraftKings, Arkansas is also receiving 59% of moneyline bets and 71% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, the Razorbacks are taking in 60% of moneyline bets and a whopping 90% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a wiseguy bet split in favor of Arkansas pulling off the upset.

Arkansas has the better effective field goal percentage (23rd vs 30th), offensive rebound percentage (103rd vs 145th), three-point shooting (18th vs 91st) and commit fewer turnovers on offense (1st vs 14th).